RizonChiefs at Bills on Thanksgiving: what’s the over/under and the spread?
The market's forecast: 46 points, Bills by 3.
Chiefs at Bills trades as a horizon contract: Higher or Lower on the number, paying a fixed 2× if it finishes on your side of the strike. The order book quotes the strike, so its midpoint is the market's forecast of the number itself.
| Market | Horizon | Best bid | Best ask | Midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NFL-KC-BUF-TOTAL | Total | 43.5 | 48.5 | 46 points |
NFL-KC-BUF-SPREAD | Spread | +0.5 | +5.5 | +3 points |
How it settles
The rules for NFL-KC-BUF-TOTAL; NFL-KC-BUF-SPREAD settles the same way, on the home team’s margin.
- The number is the Chiefs’ and Bills’ combined points at the end of their game (Thanksgiving, Nov 26), overtime included.
- Higher wins if it finishes above the strike, Lower if below: the over and the under. Strikes sit on half-points (46.5: Higher needs 47 or more), so it never pushes.
- Trading stays open through the game. Every contract settles at once on the final score, as soon as ESPN shows the game as final.
- If the game is canceled or isn’t played on its day, Rizon voids the market and every position gets its size back.
- A win pays 2× your size; a loss pays nothing.
Source: The final score on ESPN.