RizonRizon Learn
See how it works.
Short, concrete guides: horizon contracts, strikes on a live chart, and trading up or down without fixed windows.
Elon Musk's posts this week: 304 in seven days (Oct 19 – Oct 25, 2026)
Elon Musk posted 304 times on X over Oct 19 – Oct 25: 43.4 a day, down 16% on the week before. His busiest hours, bursts and quiet stretches.
Bitcoin's week, second by second: Oct 19 – Oct 25, 2026
Bitcoin, Oct 19 – Oct 25: median 1-minute move $17, biggest minute −$532, and how often 5-minute windows flipped in their last 30 seconds.
Build a Bitcoin trading bot in 10 minutes with the Rizon API
A working TypeScript bot for Rizon's 15-second Bitcoin market. Get a key in one call, read the book, place an order, stream prices and settlements.
Trading CPI and FOMC on short horizons: how big is Bitcoin's first minute?
Across 21 CPI releases (2025–26), Bitcoin's median first-minute move was 0.47%, about 10 times a normal weekday minute. After 14 FOMC statements, 0.27%.
Elon Musk's posting habits: how often he posts, and when
Elon Musk averaged 38.7 posts a day on X over the past year (median day 33), busiest from midnight to 3 a.m. New York time and quietest around 5 a.m.
Fixed windows vs horizon contracts: why arriving late costs you
Arrive at a random moment in a 5-minute Bitcoin window and the side ahead is already worth 74¢ (median). Horizon contracts start at your fill instead. The data.
How much does Bitcoin move in 15 seconds, 1 minute and 5 minutes?
Typically $5 in 15 seconds, $15 in a minute and $37 in five (Sep–Oct 2026, BTC near $83,000); one move in ten topped $26, $55 and $123. By hour and weekday.
How often does Bitcoin reverse in the last 30 seconds of a 5-minute window?
About 1 in 9. Over 8,633 five-minute windows, the side ahead at T−30 s lost 11.2% of the time; at T−5 s, 6.4%. The size of the lead decides most of it.
How to practise 5-minute and 15-minute Bitcoin up/down trading for free
Practise short-horizon Bitcoin up/down trading with paper money on live prices, with five drills, the numbers to know and the mistakes that cost the most.
Strike vs probability: two ways to quote the same up/down contract
A cents market fixes the strike and moves the price; a strike book fixes the price and moves the strike. How to convert between them, with Bitcoin data.
Glossary: horizon, strike, push, 2× payout and other up/down trading terms
Short, linkable definitions of up/down trading terms, including horizon, strike, push, 2× payout, price to beat, resolution source, TWAP, maker and taker.
What are 5-minute Bitcoin up/down markets? How they work on Polymarket, Kalshi and others
A market on whether Bitcoin ends a 5-minute block at or above its opening price. How Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, predict.fun and OG run them, with fees.