What will predict.fun’s token be worth a day after launch?

predict.fun FDV trades as a horizon contract: Higher or Lower on the number, paying a fixed 2× if it finishes on your side of the strike. The order book quotes the strike, so its midpoint is the market's forecast of the number itself.

How it settles

• The number is the fully diluted value of predict.fun’s PREDICT token (its total supply of 1,000,000,000 times its price) at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token launches, in billions of US dollars, priced on its most liquid spot market. $1.25B is a price of $1.25.
• Higher wins if it is above the strike; Lower wins if it is below. Strikes are multiples of $0.01B ($10M); exactly on the strike is a push: both sides get their size back.
• Trading closes at that 4:00 PM ET (Rizon halts it), and Rizon resolves it from that market’s price then. The token must be publicly transferable and tradable.
• If the token hasn’t launched by Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market is void: every contract is refunded.
• A win pays 2× your size; a loss pays nothing.

Source: The most liquid PREDICT spot market, resolved by Rizon.

Guides

• What is a horizon contract? Definition, payout and examples
• Fixed vs rolling horizons: when your clock starts at your trade, and when it doesn't